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EBOR HANDICAP BETTING IN FOOTBALL

Johnny Aitken, who went from working as a runner for a major gambling syndicate in Australia all the way up to becoming CEO of the Australia-based sportsbook PointsBet, watched it happen. But recreational gamblers either get lucky and win or they go broke, and if they get too lucky, too often they get banned. Either way there is a law of diminishing returns for the bookmaker who will tolerate no risk, unless that bookmaker can continually locate new, untapped pools of players, like an energy company constantly looking for new pockets of oil or gas buried beneath the shale.

These became the two prevailing models of bookmaking. On one side were the European-style books. On the other side were companies like Pinnacle, who offered lower odds and took on larger bets. Pinnacle and BetCRIS were known to let certain sharp players bet their lines before they went public.

One side gets a bet at house limits, the other side gets valuable information. This is the way it worked for many years, more or less. But according to Peabody, the days of posted limits and sharp players being able to bet started to end when William Hill arrived in Nevada. Of the physical sportsbooks in Nevada, William Hill operates more than If someone is good enough to beat you why not use that information internally?

Take the bet at a smaller amount and use it to move your line. It is completely false to say that we ban people simply for winning. There are literally tens of thousands of customers in Nevada that are winners at William Hill. In the rare situation where we do prohibit someone from wagering with us, there are a variety of reasons why. If someone tells you that the reason that they are prohibited from wagering with William Hill is because they are winning, they are not telling you the whole story.

Total, total, utter bullshit and you can quote me on that. By , Spanky says he was allowed to bet directly in only five places in the entire world. He had three kids, with a fourth on the way. His business had been profitable and predictable. His employees were happy. He was becoming a wealthy man. But the European-style changes in the market could potentially kill his livelihood.

That meant that he needed to keep millions of dollars in action to earn enough to support his family and his employees. And with so many sportsbooks refusing his action, he needed to get creative. They would provide Spanky with their own accounts to bet into with other bookmakers, and they could split the proceeds.

These bookmakers already knew he was a winning player, and most leaped at the opportunity to make a profit off his plays, while at the same time taking a bite out of their competition. Bookmakers were more skittish about taking on risk than Spanky had ever seen before. With so little independent data and analysis of their own lines, bookmakers were flinching at every shadow. I give him the money and take the betslip, then return to my chair in the front row. The game then appears on the screen, only the line is now Xavier They should have given Toledo MORE points, not fewer, to get someone to take the other side of the game and balance out my bet.

Instead, by moving the line in my direction, they were trying to entice me to bet more! I clutch my backpack and go back up to the counter to speak to the manager. He punches it into the computer and waits for word from the trading office in Las Vegas. When I return to my seat, the game flashes again, and this time the line goes back to Back to the counter, and another bet approved.

This time, the line moves to You can keep sending people with new names and fresh money. He was betting much smaller amounts. Instead of reacting to my bet, William Hill reacted to the lines moving at all the places Spanky was betting, from -5 to When I left the casino the line was already at One of the people Spanky partnered with in to make bets for him was a bookmaker in Allentown, New Jersey.

Investigators overheard Spanky talking to the bookmaker about money he was owed. I was just a bettor. Through those wiretaps, investigators traced an intricate web of bookies and bettors that stretched across the globe, and involved both illegal street bookies and a major Wall Street financial firm, Cantor Fitzgerald. They took him away in handcuffs.

In all, they arrested 25 people in five states. Spanky says he was a victim of a misunderstanding about how his business worked, that he was mistaken for a bookmaker when he was merely a bettor. He was placing bets through so many accounts and with so many partners, often with bookmakers who themselves were operating illegally in the United States, that it created a confusing web of cash moving back and forth among many parties on both sides of the law.

In all, Spanky was charged with enterprise corruption; fourth-, third-, second-, and first-degree money laundering; first-degree promoting gambling; and fourth- and fifth-degree conspiracy. As Spanky and Mike sat in jail, they contemplated their future. Perhaps they should get out of the gambling business.

Mike suggested they open up a hot dog stand. He took his first break from betting in 12 years. He joined a touch football league. He played in board game tournaments. Eventually he wondered what he was doing with his life. This is all I know how to do. His Princeton guys got scared and quit.

His betting partners worried he was hot, maybe working with the feds. And his wife was terrified the police might come kicking in the door again. She asked him to promise it would never happen. What he could promise her was that he would live his life out in the open. There would never again be any doubt which side of the counter he was on. Over the next few years, Spanky and Mike worked hard to build their business back up.

They started betting again, building their bankroll back up. They had a few good football seasons. Things appeared to be getting back on track for them. It was like a dream come true. The work that Spanky had done his entire life—work that once required him to hide his identity, to meet people in back alleys to trade sacks of cash, work that led to his phones being tapped, his nest egg being confiscated, and his reputation dragged through the mud—he would finally be able to do with his head held high.

Showing astute foresight, William Hill signed a deal with Monmouth Park in , a full five years before the PASPA decision, at a time when few people were predicting the law would be overturned. But Mike thought it was worth a shot. The first day Spanky arrived at Monmouth Park, the place was packed, and people were betting with both hands. Could it be possible that bookmaking in New Jersey was going to be a return to the good old days?

Spanky interrogated the manager for the video. From then on, Spanky was a man on a mission. As each new sportsbook opened in New Jersey, Spanky showed up. Each time he negotiated bet limits. Each time he was welcomed by the sportsbooks with open arms.

Casinos usually salivate over players willing to bet large amounts, wining and dining them and putting them up in free suites. The new sportsbooks in New Jersey were no different. Four weeks I was there. Once I started winning, I had a big weekend and held 32 percent, they cut me off.

Sometimes it was after a week of taking his bets. Sometimes within a couple of days. Each time he recorded it and posted the videos on Twitter. Each time his followers grew, cheering him on. After Pennsylvania legalized bookmaking and Parx Casino opened its sportsbook, Spanky tweeted that he was planning to go check it out. Not every sportsbook in New Jersey has banned Spanky.

The Hard Rock, the most recent sportsbook to open in Atlantic City, welcomes his action. He was the manager of the famed Stardust sportsbook in Las Vegas in the s and early s. While others are run by large international conglomerates pooling money from bets taken all over the world, the Hard Rock is backing the sports bets it takes with its own money.

Johnny Aitken at PointsBet is also hoping to make a big splash in New Jersey by going against the grain and allowing sharp players to bet big, and he hopes it will even help give his book an edge. The three-day event was a trade show for the technology and data companies, many of whom are European, that hope to break into the fledgling American market.

Data and technology are the driving forces in sports gambling now, more closely resembling a bizzaro version of Wall Street. Bookies are now traders. Bets are positions. Instead of talking about fumbles or points or vig or juice, you hear talk of Python and stacks and hold and risk. Old-school bookmakers are being replaced by algorithms that do the work once done by armies of traders, whose jobs are now to oversee the systems that power the trading floor.

Well, I call them traitors. Gambling, it seems, is only what the customer is doing. Gambling is for suckers. It is simply finance. And it must never, ever lose money. Now these guys who run these casinos do not even gamble. Jon Kaplowitz, the head of interactive for Penn National Gaming, which is partnered with William Hill, was asked about their risk management strategy.

I myself have personally been kicked out of all of your sportsbooks, as well as several of my colleagues, for the action being quote-unquote too sharp. After some uncomfortable snickers from the audience, and an answer from Kaplowitz about how he has to manage between giving customers a great experience and making a profit, Asher grumpily responds. Later that evening, one conference attendee tells me he heard Spanky threatened to go after Asher with a baseball bat.

When I tell him what Spanky actually said, the man seems a little disappointed. And other gamblers were patting him on the back and thanking him for taking a stand against the greedy corporations. Long gone were the days of bettors grousing about his steam play, of calling him a bottom feeder. Spanky Kyrollos, however, knows a guy, and we get in no problem. All of the bets I made were either for games the following day or games currently being played. My work is already done.

The couple at the table next to ours interrupts Spanky. They recognize him. Spanky is gregarious in chatting with them. If there is such a thing as New Jersey charm, Spanky exudes it. Then he jumps back in without missing a beat. I love the challenge. And when you beat the line, that means you won. But I do admire his pride in craftsmanship. In this particular battle, his foe is so vastly powerful and wealthy that I can understand his enthusiasm for this small victory.

I even root him on. Or it could simply be that deep inside his heart he is that increasingly rare creature in this modern world: a true gambler. After all, Xavier could still lose. I took no solace in beating the line, in being sharp. Deep inside my own heart, I was no better than the bookmakers—I was terrified of the risk. Late that night after dinner, as Spanky and I walk back through the casino to our rooms, he stops suddenly in front of a slot machine.

He pulls out his phone, does a few calculations on his spreadsheet, then looks at me and smiles. He pulls out a wad of bills and peels off a 20, then waves me over to join him. Still, I have already celebrated. I have eaten veal and fish. I feel strangely proud and good.

I pull out a 20 of my own and join him at the machines. His website is davidhillonline. Cookie banner We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. By choosing I Accept , you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Filed under: Gambling. John W. Flipboard Email.

Finally, many do ask if attending courses is a necessity. It absolutely is not, but if you do have the time to enrol in one, it will likely help you. Betting studies typically teach the average player a few tricks and skills that will almost certainly boost your abilities. Set goals In order to track your progress and keep your spending in check, you should set specific goals and work towards them. By doing so, you can track just how much money you may need, and how much more you would like to earn.

This can also be done by setting goals for each sport you choose to bet on , by placing your largest goal on the sport you know most about. Goals for the month are also doable, although not as recommended, due to the unpredictable nature of sports betting.

Keep track of your betting records Improving your tactics will be easiest when keeping a record of your most and least successful bets. Keep an eye out for patterns in your wins and losses. For instance, do you specialise when picking favourites or the underdogs? Do you typically go for multiple small wins or a few, scattered large wins? Are there certain days and times during events that seem to bring in, or not bring in, money? Analyse your strengths and other patterns, and use those to your advantage when placing your next bet.

In order to manage your betting funds, you will need to set specific budgets and choose how much you are able to stake on each bet. If you spend more than you can afford to, you risk losing everything — and if you spend less than you need to, you will limit your ability to earn more. In professional sports betting, you cannot afford to take major risks as your earnings depend on your every move; hence why bankroll management could make or break your career as a professional bettor , even if your analytical skills are off the charts.

Placing bets simply because you would like a team to win, is a recipe for disaster. Always rely on your analytical skills. Moreover, your emotional weaknesses can surface in other aspects. Identify your emotional weaknesses and make a conscious effort to use logic instead. Practice discipline As we said earlier, controlling yourself and remaining disciplined are massively important when betting.

Getting carried away is easy, so it is vital that you set some rules and stick to them when a lot is at stake. This applies to your spending habits, but also your schedule. Yes, a great perk for any professional bettor is the flexibility allowed… but it always helps to set a schedule for your betting activities. This will enable you to allocate the appropriate time to each betting activity while keeping you focused. Work on dedicating a set period of time to each category of task you often work on.

All professional bettors know the feeling — there is no such thing as constant success. Professional bettors who are affected by this may sometimes opt to place safe wagers out of fear and a lack of confidence. There are plenty of professional sports bettors who have built a successful career through the right analytical skills and profound knowledge of sports.

Often considered to be one of the best sports bettors around , Walters is known for his impressive streak of winning years over thirty! His entrepreneurial spirit makes his story all the more inspiring. Having started gambling at 9 years of age, Walters definitely built up experience from a young age. In the s, Walters joined the Computer Group, which analysed sports outcomes, and was later renowned for betting on basketball, NFL , and college football. He first began betting on sports in the early s, while in his early 20s, yet his sports betting career was already kicking off successfully.

At the age of just 25, Voulgaris was said to be flipping a million dollars on the daily as a result of his impressive analytical skills and ability to understand the habits of coaches Eddie Jordan, Jerry Sloan, and Byron Scott. Mayweather is best known for betting on small events, rather than simply the big occasions. Arizona St. Open a Free Account with Sport. We believe making the right preparations and researching prior to kicking off your sports betting career is of the utmost importance.

Natalya is a writer and content creator with experience writing across the sports betting and financial sectors.

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Learn more by tapping the Union Jack icon. Unlike casino games, which are banned in Aus, sports betting is legal and regulated. Click the flag to visit the page and learn more. New Zeland has interesting online gambling laws. It makes it illegal to bet online at websites based in NZ, but betting on overseas sites is fine.

Find out more on our New Zealand sports betting page — tap the flag to visit it now. Not from one of the countries above? Click on your country on the map below to find out what the law says about betting online. Everybody wants to know how to win at sports betting. We suggest familiarizing yourself with the two sections immediately below. The first section explains sports betting for beginners, and the second section runs through a list of strategies.

Before you can make profits, you need to understand how to bet on sports. You also need to know how the odds work and what your options are in terms of the bets you can place. Online betting has opened up a whole world of possibilities. The days of placing straight bets on game outcomes as your only option are gone. You only need to follow a simple process to place your first bet online. Now you know the basics of how sports betting works. This will show you how it is done and give you the confidence to try it for yourself.

Confused about the odds and how they work? The main types of bets you can place include. These are brief definitions. Click on the name of any bet type to read a more detailed article on that type of bet. Straight Bets — This is betting on the winner of a match, fight, or competition.

Accumulator Bets — Also called Accas, these bets involve multiple selections, and all of them have to be successful to win the bet. These have the potential to pay major wins. Your chosen horse just has to be placed to win some money. Live Bets — These bets are made as the game or match takes place. For example, if a penalty kick is given to Brazil during the World Cup, you can bet on whether or not they will score it.

Bets are placed and settled quickly, and there are lots of markets to bet on. The different types of bets often make it more difficult to understand sports betting for beginners. Our guides will explain each type of bet in detail. There are endless numbers of sports betting systems marketed online. As a matter of fact, most of them are created and promoted by sports betting sites to lighten your wallet. Check out some of the following strategies.

We explain how they work, and we actually used them across hundreds of different bets and have summarized our results. If you want to know which betting strategies work, these pages will show you. Betting on Trends — This is one of the most popular ways to find potential bets. The idea is to find sports betting trends, such as football players who are on form, or horses which are on a winning streak, and bet on them. Experienced bettors know that form is absolutely real and you can definitely win bets frequently by betting on trends.

We often advise our readers to bet on trends with our English Premier League tips. I started with matched betting and then moved to arbitrage , while dipping my toes into every other form of professional gambling. In this post, I take you through seven different ways to make money gambling and talk about their pros and cons.

But before we start, if this is all new to you I really recommend starting with Matched Betting as it is the easiest and least risky. Here is my detailed how-to guide on Matched Betting. Matched betting is the easiest way to become a professional gambler. It is where I started and over the years has made me a lot of money. And if done correctly it is risk-free. Most online gambling sites offer promotions such as free bets to try and get you to sign up with them rather than their competitors.

If you are clever you can hedge your bets and whatever the outcome withdraw most of the free bet. I have a detailed free introductory guide to matched betting. After that, you will want to sign up to one of the matched betting services like Oddsmonkey. It is free to sign up and will work you through your first few matched betting offers. You simply work your way through the list. Oddsmonkey has a few competitors which you can compare in my guide to the best matched betting subscription services.

Matched betting is probably the easiest way to become a professional gambler but does have an earnings cap. Then once you have exhausted matched betting you can move on to making money from casino bonuses. Even more profitable but quite a bit harder. Value bettors are often world-leading experts in one particular team or sport.

They know everything about it, more even than the oddsmakers at the bookies. They take all that information and make their own odds. If their odds are drastically different to what the bookmakers come up with, they will bet the difference. The value bettor is probably the purest type of professional gambler.

They are not using loopholes or bonuses, instead they make money gambling by beating the bookies at their own game. I have a detailed free introduction guide to value betting. Warning , it is not an easy way to make money gambling! Once you have started creating odds I suggest paper betting with fake money to test out your edge before you start spending real money.

Once you are ready to use real money, you need somewhere to bet. So most professional gamblers will instead use a marketplace based sports betting exchange such as Betfair. Sports betting arbitrage is where I have made the most money as a professional gambler. It was even the subject of my university dissertation.

Very simply, imagine there is a tennis match going on. If one bookmaker believes player A is going to win and the other bookmaker believes that player B is going to win, then they will price their odds very differently. If the difference is big enough you can bet at both bookmakers on opposite players so whoever wins the match you will make money. The hard part is stopping your accounts from getting closed. Although arbitrage betting is completely legal, as soon as the bookmakers realise you are a professional gambler they will limit or close your account.

Everyone has heard of traditional bookmakers, but have you heard of betting exchanges such as Betfair? They are markets modelled on the stock market where punters can buy and sell bets. That means you can trade in and out of a single bet multiple times and lock in a profit before the event even happens. I wrote a pretty detailed post on my experiences sports trading here. I had some initial success and was making money, but struggled to scale up. There are lots of books on Amazon about the stock market or algorithmic trading.

Whenever I used to tell someone I was a professional gambler they assumed I meant poker player. It is definitely the most well known and well-understood way to make money gambling, but that means it is also one of the hardest — because everyone is trying it. The commission that the casino takes from each hand. To successfully make money gambling with poker there needs to be a very large gap between your skill level and that of your opponent. The people making the real money in poker are not the famous names winning the big tournaments, but the anonymous professional gamblers sharking on not very good players.

If you want to start learning strategies and eventually make money gambling, that is a great place to start. If you really get into it you will probably end up with accounts at all the online poker sites, so you can make the most of the welcome bonuses. But if you are looking for a good place to start I recommend Betfair Poker.

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Taking the time to study the information here will help you win more often. The most important thing for us is to find legal online sports betting sites. To learn about online sports betting in the USA and the various laws which apply state by state, click or tap the US flag icon. If you want to know what the law says about online sports betting in Canada, click the flag and find out.

British bettors should take some time to read our UK sports betting page. The UK has a legal and regulated online gambling industry, and there are lots of great betting sites to choose from. Learn more by tapping the Union Jack icon.

Unlike casino games, which are banned in Aus, sports betting is legal and regulated. Click the flag to visit the page and learn more. New Zeland has interesting online gambling laws. It makes it illegal to bet online at websites based in NZ, but betting on overseas sites is fine. Find out more on our New Zealand sports betting page — tap the flag to visit it now. Not from one of the countries above? Click on your country on the map below to find out what the law says about betting online.

Everybody wants to know how to win at sports betting. We suggest familiarizing yourself with the two sections immediately below. The first section explains sports betting for beginners, and the second section runs through a list of strategies. Before you can make profits, you need to understand how to bet on sports. You also need to know how the odds work and what your options are in terms of the bets you can place.

Online betting has opened up a whole world of possibilities. The days of placing straight bets on game outcomes as your only option are gone. You only need to follow a simple process to place your first bet online. Now you know the basics of how sports betting works. This will show you how it is done and give you the confidence to try it for yourself. Confused about the odds and how they work? The main types of bets you can place include.

These are brief definitions. Click on the name of any bet type to read a more detailed article on that type of bet. Straight Bets — This is betting on the winner of a match, fight, or competition. Accumulator Bets — Also called Accas, these bets involve multiple selections, and all of them have to be successful to win the bet. These have the potential to pay major wins. Your chosen horse just has to be placed to win some money.

Live Bets — These bets are made as the game or match takes place. For example, if a penalty kick is given to Brazil during the World Cup, you can bet on whether or not they will score it. Bets are placed and settled quickly, and there are lots of markets to bet on. The different types of bets often make it more difficult to understand sports betting for beginners.

Our guides will explain each type of bet in detail. There are endless numbers of sports betting systems marketed online. As a matter of fact, most of them are created and promoted by sports betting sites to lighten your wallet. Check out some of the following strategies. On the other side, you have to keep the good periods going as long as possible without letting go of your reason.

Both in the positive sense and in the negative. You mainly bet on soccer. Whether the ball goes in or bounces off the goal post is often a matter of luck, how do you calculate your tips? I developed a program myself that works completely off of mathematics. My bets have nothing to do with luck. I never leave anything up to a gut feeling, it's all about my calculations.

Do you have a degree in anything, or did you always know you wanted to be a gambler? I studied math, but I started playing more and more on the side. I developed the program at college and started playing in the big bad world. Backgammon, black jack. Later I started with soccer, and then I developed a program for that while at school.

Back then, you had to bet in writing. Initially, I didn't understand it at all, but I placed my first bet anyway. I was pissed off, we lost like 10 marks. Then I started thinking and making all the calculations. We placed our first professional bets during the European Cup in We won about 4, marks. Then, when the World Cup rolled around, my program was completely finished. And that's why we were so successful!

After that Word Cup, I quit my job as a programmer and since then I've been in the betting business full-time. That was pretty brave, to quit everything else because of a good World Cup, becoming a professional gambler. It sounds crazy, but I was just that good at it! I can do it. When I was 26, I won 20, dollars at the backgammon world championship in Monte Carlo. It wasn't just a whim to completely focus on betting.

I knew would work. You were a young man with 20, dollars on your pocket in the middle of Monte Carlo. You must have been having delusions of grandeur, right? Yeah totally. I did a few stupid things, or duly enjoyed myself to put it another way. Girls can tell when you're successful and Monte Carlo is a good city for having fun. After that win, I travelled around for another six weeks and kept gambling. Not really.

Back then I eventually left Monte Carlo. I could tell that I was having insane luck and that it couldn't last. It was too much. I went to Monte Carlo with 5, marks and after six weeks of partying and fun I went to St. Tropez, Nice and Paris. Ultimately I made my way back to Berlin without having lost money. I don't follow a favorite team or have a lucky number. I'm all about science and mathematics. I've created statistics, which would be of interest to Sky, the teams, the coaches, the managers, sports reporter, actually to anyone.

I have rankings that are way more precise and model the performance in a different way than the tables. I also built in a luck ratio for me to be able to calculate chance. I'll explain with an example. If Werder is on the offensive and there's a chance to take a shot from far away, from over 20 meters away from the goal, then maybe they'll try their luck.